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A Million-Dollar Median Masks a Market That Still Favors Sellers

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A real estate for-sale sign stands in front of a single-family home on a sunny street.
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Map of San Diego County, CA
📍 San Diego County, CA · open in OpenStreetMap

San Diego County's median home price fell to $1.02 million in July 2026 — down $30,000, or roughly 2.9 percent, from June's record high of $1.05 million. The headline retreat from a record looks like relief, but a closer reading of the underlying data tells a more complicated story. Closed-sale data through May 2026 puts the countywide median at $910,000 — a different methodology measuring closed transactions rather than active listing trends — and homes through May were selling in a median of 15 days at exactly 100 percent of list price across 2,139 sales. That is not a buyer's market.

The county's stratification is sharp. Rancho Santa Fe's median sale price sits at $4.1 million — four times the countywide figure. Chula Vista's median of $799,000 and Ocean Beach's $651,500 represent the more accessible end of a market where 'accessible' still means three-quarters of a million dollars. Homes are still moving in roughly 23 days on average, a figure inconsistent with a correcting market and consistent with demand that continues to significantly outpace supply.

The DACA processing backlog adds a workforce dimension to the economic picture. For San Diego specifically, the sectors with high DACA employee representation — healthcare, education, public safety — are also sectors with persistent staffing shortages. A firefighter with a lapsed renewal cannot work a shift. A radiation technician cannot run scans. The bureaucratic bottleneck translates into operational gaps in critical services, and businesses absorb the cost through emergency staffing, overtime, and in some cases permanently losing workers to other states where their situations resolve faster.

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